2025: the end of US dominance

Julian Borger
The Guardian
November 21, 2008

The United States’ leading intelligence organisation has warned that the world is entering an increasingly unstable and unpredictable period in which the advance of western-style democracy is no longer assured, and some states are in danger of being “taken over and run by criminal networks”.

	[audio:http://download.guardian.co.uk/audio/kip/standalone/world/1227254408295/6684/gdn.new.081121.tm.Julian_Borger.mp3]
	Julian Borge on an intelligence report that says the US will lose its power in an unstable world.

The global trends review, produced by the National Intelligence Council (NIC) every four years, represents sobering reading in Barack Obama’s intray as he prepares to take office in January. The country he inherits, the report warns, will no longer be able to “call the shots” alone, as its power over an increasingly multipolar world begins to wane.

• A d v e r t i s e m e n t

Looking ahead to 2025, the NIC (which coordinates analysis from all the US intelligence agencies), foresees a fragmented world, where conflict over scarce resources is on the rise, poorly contained by “ramshackle” international institutions, while nuclear proliferation, particularly in the Middle East, and even nuclear conflict grow more likely.

“Global Trends 2025: A World Transformed” warns that the spread of western democratic capitalism cannot be taken for granted, as it was by George Bush and America’s neoconservatives.

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