McKinsey: 30% of Employers to “Definitely or Probably” Stop Offering Health Insurance after 2014


Avik Roy
Forbes
June 7, 2011

Shubham Singhal, Jeris Stueland, and Drew Ungerman of McKinsey & Co., the consulting firm, have conducted a survey of over 1,300 employers across the country, and found that “30 percent of employers will definitely or probably stop offering [employer-sponsored insurance] in the years after 2014.” Among those with a “high awareness of reform,” more than 50 percent will do so. (H/T Ben Domenech.)

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McKinsey’s numbers jibe with those of the progressive Urban Institute, which recently published a study fearing that “droves of employees—potentially tens of millions—are likely to shift out of employer-provided health insurance over the next decade or two, especially as newer firms and their employees find it more profitable [to do so].” (I further discuss the Urban Institute work in this blog post.)

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