Nov 5, 2012
With less than 48 hours to go until voters cast their ballots, the presidential race is still in a dead heat, with national polls showing President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney virtually tied for the popular vote.
But the latest survey from the Pew Research Center shows Obama has an advantage over Mitt Romney when it comes to strength of voters’ support — a key indicator that has historically predicted which candidate will win the popular vote.
According to the survey, 39 percent of likely voters strongly support Obama, compared to just 33 percent of likely voters strongly support Romney. According to Pew’s data, the candidate with stronger support among voters has gone on to win the popular vote in 10 out of 12 elections since 1960.
Check out the chart below:
Pew Research Center
Along those same lines, a full 80 percent of Obama voters say they are voting “for” Obama rather than “against” Romney. By comparison, 60 percent of voters say they are voting “for” Romney.