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    STEVE LOHR
    The New York Times
    March 13, 2008

    Caution: Heavy Internet traffic ahead. Delays possible.

    For months there has been a rising chorus of alarm about the surging growth in the amount of data flying across the Internet. The threat, according to some industry groups, analysts and researchers, stems mainly from the increasing visual richness of online communications and entertainment — video clips and movies, social networks and multiplayer games.

    Moving images, far more than words or sounds, are hefty rivers of digital bits as they traverse the Internet’s pipes and gateways, requiring, in industry parlance, more bandwidth. Last year, by one estimate, the video site YouTube, owned by Google, consumed as much bandwidth as the entire Internet did in 2000.

    In a widely cited report published last November, a research firm projected that user demand for the Internet could outpace network capacity by 2011. The title of a debate scheduled next month at a technology conference in Boston sums up the angst: “The End of the Internet?”

    science technology   Video Road Hogs Stir Fear of Internet Traffic Jam
    science technology   Video Road Hogs Stir Fear of Internet Traffic Jam
    science technology   Video Road Hogs Stir Fear of Internet Traffic Jam

    But the Internet traffic surge represents more a looming challenge than an impending catastrophe. Even those most concerned are not predicting a lights-out Internet crash. An individual user, they say, would experience Internet clogging in the form of sluggish download speeds and frustration with data-heavy services that become much less useful or enjoyable.

    “The Internet doesn’t collapse, but there would be a growing class of stuff you just can’t do online,” said Johna Till Johnson, president of Nemertes Research, which predicted the bandwidth squeeze by 2011, anticipating that demand will grow by 100 percent or more a year.

    Others are less worried — at least in the short term. Andrew M. Odlyzko, a professor at the University of Minnesota, estimates that digital traffic on the global network is growing about 50 percent a year, in line with a recent analysis by Cisco Systems, the big network equipment maker.

    That sounds like a daunting rate of growth. Yet the technology for handling Internet traffic is advancing at an impressive pace as well. The router computers for relaying data get faster, fiber optic transmission gets better and software for juggling data packets gets smarter.

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    Comment Rules

    8 Responses to “Video Road Hogs Stir Fear of Internet Traffic Jam”

    1. Winston Says:

      The “Clogged Internet Phenomena” is really just preparation to sell everyone on Internet2 which is really just a means to completely regulate, monitor, control, and censor the internet. This is Problem-Reaction-Solution in our face. You can forget a Ron Paul rEVOLution ever happening under the new system.

    2. Mister Mods Says:

      Winston is right on the money.

      Right down to the use of the word “FEAR” in the title and calling it a “THREAT” in the second paragraph. SHAMELESS.

      Business as usual.

      Tell us, MSM, what other THREATS should we FEAR?

    3. Gabriel A. King Says:

      Sounds like a convenient excuse for interrupting truther traffic, and sites like this.

    4. Josh In Ontario Says:

      Yes, this is a classic example of a Hegelian model at work. We have only a short time to expose this falacy and educate the public. Does anyone know how this will affect peer to peer? Already I’ve noticed bandwidth slow-downs, but will that escalate in Internet2?

    5. PleaseFixStream Says:

      please fix radio stream…….march 12 and 13 very muddy sounding stream :(

    6. Gary Says:

      B.S. The internet’s bandwidth is growing exponentially, right along with the demand. Those who fear demand will somehow exceed capacity fail to understand that there is an entire industry devoted to creating new bandwidth via new servers, new hubs, new backbones, etc. Don’t fall for this scare story nonsense. You have more to fear from the NSA on the internet than you do from not being able to download a video of the latest hip-hop star or that bimbo Britney.

    7. Curly Says:

      LOOK GARY LEAVE BRITNEY ALONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! na i’m just kidding be as mean as possible to her.

    8. (Θ) (Θ) Says:

      I heard a radio broadcast out of Australia about 6-8 months back that reported – The average bandwidth in Korea is 10X the capacity as in NA (North America). Apparently the Korean government provides and maintains the internet service which is paid for by taxes just like roads and hi-ways. They estimated that within a year the bandwidth of the average Korean internet service could exceed ours here in NA by 100X!

      With the merging of TV and internet technologies we need to catch up.