Monday, Jan 5th, 2009
A renowned Russian author has warned that the internet in its current form may not exist within as little as six years time.
“The world will become bigger again, the feeling that we share the same planet will disappear and the science will not be developing as quickly as it’s developing now,” Dmitry Glukhovsky has told Russia Today.
Glukhovsky predicted that the network would become clogged with traffic and may grind to a halt in the near future.
The Russian author shot to fame after his science fiction novels “Metro 2033″ and “Twilight” became internet phenomena following their free release online.
We have previously warned that the rumors of the internet’s decline have been much exaggerated and used as a pretext for calls to designate of a new form of the internet known as Internet 2.
This would be a “clean slate”, faster, more streamlined elite equivalent of the internet available to users who were willing to pay more for a much improved service. providers may only allow streaming audio and video on your websites if you were eligible for Internet 2.
Of course, Internet 2 would be greatly regulated and only “appropriate content” would be accepted by an FCC or government bureau. Everything else would be relegated to the “slow lane” internet, the junkyard as it were.
In tandem with broad data retention legislation currently being introduced worldwide, such “clean slate” projects may represent a considerable threat to the freedom of the internet as we know it. EU directives and US proposals for data retention may mean that any normal website or blog would have to fall into line with such new rules and suddenly total web regulation would become a reality.
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The proponents of the various “Internet 2″ style projects all maintain that the internet in it’s current form is “dead” or “dying”, citing the problem of providing more and more bandwidth as it grows. The fact of the matter, however, is that bandwidth is unlimited, as long as carriers are prepared to provide it.
Those who have announced the end of the Internet have often cited the exhaustion of IP addresses, however, there is no limit to the amount of IP addresses that can be created. Indeed, the Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers organization announced last year that it had successfully ensured the further growth of the internet with the initiation of the so called “great migration” from Internet Protocol version 4 to IPv6.
However, the precedent set by companies such as AT&T, who have been accused of blocking traffic in order to preserve bandwidth, and recent mutterings regarding the possibility of fast lane deals between carriers and giants such as Google, do not bode well for the internet as we know it.