Donald Trump is on course to win re-election in 2020, senior British diplomats believe, as he approaches his first full year in office.
They think that despite a string of negative headlines the US president has largely kept his support base onside since entering White House
Possible Democratic contenders are seen as either too old – such as Bernie Sanders and Joe Biden – or lacking in the name recognition needed to defeat Mr Trump.
There is also a belief the US president has curbed some of his most radical policy instincts since taking office, such as ignoring Nato or pulling out of Afghanistan.
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