Internal polling data is showing a remarkably strong trend in Donald Trump’s favor over the last week. So much so, Team Trump has been quietly coming to terms with the remarkable prospect of this country’s first 3rd Party candidate winning the presidency.
(That’s right, Donald Trump is as much a 3rd Party/Independent candidate as he is a Republican.)
Call it, “cautiously optimistic” which is far better than the mood inside Team Trump just a month earlier when the same internal polling data was showing Hillary Clinton building what many thought might be an insurmountable advantage.
Word is, the Clinton campaign has all but given up on Ohio, and near to doing the same in Florida, with North Carolina looking suspect for Team Clinton as well.
First, the black vote is down considerably over 2012 numbers – numbers many of the Mainstream Media polls have been using as a template for their polling samples. Hillary Clinton was never going to get out the black vote like Barack Obama, and yet the polling firms continued to sample as if she were which resulted in Hillary polling better than she actually is.
Second, the white voter turnout is said to be up – BIG-TIME, and Trump leads among white voters over Hillary – BIG TIME.
Third, Trump continues to show well among independent voters.
Fourth, Trump is doing better among female voters than some of the Mainstream Media polls have indicated.
Lastly, Trump is doing better among Hispanic voters than some of the Mainstream Media polls have indicated.
Moving on from North Carolina, Florida, and Ohio (three HUGE Trump wins if this internal polling data holds) there is the battle for Pennsylvania, a state that has long been considered Republican “fools gold” as it draws in a Republican presidential candidate’s time and resources, only to end up voting Democrat.
This time might be different, and here’s why. Outside of Philadelphia, Trump is polling extremely well. So well in fact, he might just overcome the Philly deficit and win the state – and Team Hillary knows it and is in a panic to add resources there to prevent that from happening. This resource shift has then made the Clinton campaign more vulnerable in places they never, until quite recently, thought they would be:
Virginia and Michigan.
The Trump campaign is said to be feeling increasingly confident they will get a win in at least one of those two states, though in the last 48-hours, some are thinking a 2/2 outcome is not only possible – but probable. There has been an upsurge in the old Reagan Democrats voting bloc who are showing seriously motivated enthusiasm for Donald Trump. It has been more than three decades since this segment of the Democrat Party has been so willing to vote for the Republican ticket, and though not as numerous as they were in the 1980’s, could still prove pivotal in securing Trump victories in historically blue states.
NOTE: Trump’s last-minute move into Wisconsin is strategic. We won’t say more than that for now. Let’s just see if the strategy works.
Working in Hillary’s favor is her formidable ground-game, and the Mainstream Media. The ground game will push to get votes out in critical districts in order to secure victory in the state should it be a close election, or, in some cases, make certain the means by which election fraud can be successfully carried out.
The second thing in Hillary’s favor will be the Mainstream Media. Look for the networks to engage in the same exit polling Republican voter suppression coverage they’ve utilized for the last few election cycles. They will announce Clinton’s state victories ASAP, while delaying the announcement of those states going to Trump. Yes, they do this and are happy to admit to it off the record. They want the appearance of a Clinton blowout as soon as possible to then push down Trump turnout in yet-to-vote states on Election Day – especially in places like Nevada and Colorado that might be Hillary Clinton’s firewall should the night be less than dominant for her early on.
The good news is that Team Trump is at this very moment, based on their own internals, looking upon a potential 300+ electoral map for Donald Trump.
The bad news is that Team Hillary knows that with a handful of states still very close, it may have the (nefarious) means at its disposal to make it probable the outcome favors them, and they will then be looking at the 300+ electoral final count.
If Donald Trump is to win at all, he must win BIG.
Team Trump now thinks they have a legitimate shot at doing just that.