May 12, 2009
A third of the world’s population could be infected with swine flu, expert projections suggest.
[efoods]Researchers say swine flu has “full pandemic potential”, spreading readily between people and is likely to go global in the next six to nine months.
Although one in three who come in contact will likely become infected, the Imperial College London team declined to estimate the death toll.
The study based on Mexico’s experience is published in the journal Science.
The number of laboratory-confirmed swine flu cases has reached 5,251 in some 30 countries around the world, with 61 having died from the disease, the World Health Organization has confirmed.
Working in collaboration with the WHO and public health agencies in Mexico, the researchers assessed the Mexico epidemic using data to the end of April and taking into account factors like international spread and viral genetic diversity.
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