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This Isn’t Normal

One in 20 American high-school kids either is transgender or questions their gender

This simply isn't normal

This Isn’t Normal Image Credit: Houston Chronicle/Hearst Newspapers via Getty Images / Contributor / Getty Images
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One in 20 American high-school students either is transgender or questions their gender, according to a new survey. This isn’t normal.

Exactly how abnormal isn’t quite clear—cast-iron statistics from the present and the recent past are hard to come by, especially since definitions of transgenderism and gender-dysphoria have changed over time and are still changing—but, even so, I think we can safely say we’re in the ballpark of “seriously bloody abnormal” when one in 20 US teenagers think they were born in the wrong body.

A full 3% actively identify as transgender, and 2% more question their gender, which means they have gender dysphoria, the gateway to transgenderism.

The explosion of transgenderism is precisely that—an explosion. The rate of transgenderism among US adults was estimated to be around 1 in 250 just seven years ago.

In a Dutch study, researchers estimated, using records of individuals seeking gender-reassignment therapy, that the background rate of transgenderism in the Netherlands in the mid 1970s was 5.6 per 100,000 for male to female, and 1.9 per 100,000 for female to male.

Of course, those were individuals actively seeking gender-reassignment, whereas the majority of American kids surveyed by the 2023 Youth Risk Behaviour Survey won’t do that.

A significant proportion of them will, though, and they’ll be encouraged to do so, pretty much every step of the way: by their peers, by their teachers, by their parents if they’re liberal or cuckservative, by TikTok and social media and the White House and the culture at large. Everything will push them towards expression of “who they really are” by means of exogeneous hormones and, ultimately and irreversibly, the surgeon’s scalpel.

In a state like Montana, children may even be removed from their parents’ custody if their parents don’t support their decision to change gender—for not “affirming” their child’s decision, to use language that helps disguise the brutal, unconstitutional use of state power to undermine parental authority and break up families.

The 2023 Youth Risk Behavior Survey is the first time the annual survey asked teens whether they identify as transgender or are gender-questioning. The survey included 20,103 public and private school students in grades 9 through 12 from all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.

The survey also revealed that transgender and teens with gender dysphoria experience significantly elevated levels of mental illness.

Transgender students, in particular, were more likely to report persistent sadness or hopelessness (about 72% compared with 50% normal girls and 26% of normal boys); poor mental health, (65% compared to 38% of normal girls and 18% of normal boys); thoughts of suicide (53% compared with 24% of normal girls and 12% of normal boys); and suicide attempts (26% compared with 11% of normal girls and 5% of normal boys).

Supporters and “sympathetic” voices will say this is an indictment of the way that transgender people are treated by society: that they’re still marginalised and treated harshly, instead of being embraced with loving arms and made to feel welcome. In short, they’ll treat the mental anguish and illness as a symptom of an uncaring society, rather than, potentially, the cause of the phenomenon itself.

But what if the mental illness and anguish are the cause? What if there are other causes too?

There have also been attempts to explain the rise of transgenderism in relation to the growth of mental illness more generally, like this 2014 study, which found that nearly 63 percent of sampled patients requesting gender reassignment had “at least one psychiatric comorbidity.” A third of patients suffered depression, 20.5 percent suffered a specific phobia, and 15.7 percent suffered from adjustment disorder.

There are clearly elements of “social contagion” to the phenomenon as well. A study in the prestigious journal PLoS ONE in 2018 suggested social media and belonging to friendship groups that already had transgender-identifying people in them drastically increased the risk of gender dysphoria in teenagers. A significant number of the teens included within the study had also been diagnosed with at least one mental-health disorder or neurodevelopmental issue, such as autism.

Then there are endocrine disruptors, hormone-disrupting chemicals that are inescapable in the modern world: They’re in the food, the water, the soil, the air, the electronic goods we use and the personal-care products we put on our skin and hair. They’re everywhere. This is the so-called “gay frogs” theory of transgenderism that Alex Jones was so roundly mocked for way back in 2015.

If you know about how endocrine disruptors work, and you know how the human body works, then the claim that endocrine disruptors might be responsible for the massive rise of transgenderism in recent decades, makes perfect sense. It always has done. And that’s before you even start to factor in the many studies of the harmful effects of these chemicals on all manner of creatures, including Tyrone Hayes’s studies of African clawed frogs, which show that the herbicide atrazine causes males to become female at levels commonly found in US waterways.

In the pages of National Geographic and Science magazine, “gay frogs” were a legitimate source of concern for the scientific community and the public at large, but from the mouth of Alex Jones—simply because he’s Alex Jones—it became a dreaded “right-wing conspiracy theory,” and that killed discussion of the problem stone dead for years.

Thankfully, with the arrival of RFK JR. in the 2024 presidential race, endocrine disruptors and their appalling effects on our heath have become a national issue. The effects of these chemicals on our bodies, which range from encouraging obesity and diabetes, to links with heart disease, cancer, autism and neurodegenerative diseases, as well as fertility issues and transgenderism, now cannot be ignored.

We also have new compelling evidence to substantiate the link between transgenderism and harmful chemicals. A study this year was the first to report a direct human link between exposure to a specific chemical and transgenderism. The study, published in the Journal of Xenobiotics, considers the effects of exposure to the chemical diethylstilbestrol (DES) on the rate of transgenderism among French boys. The study’s authors discovered that boys exposed to DES in utero were perhaps as much as 100 times more likely to become male-to-female transgender than the highest reported background rate across Europe. Reliable figures for the number of transgender people as a percentage of the population vary wildly, so the actual increase in risk due to exposure to DES could be even higher.

We should be alarmed by the figures reported in the Youth Risk Behavior Survey, and we should take the misery seriously too. The suffering is real, and deserves sympathy. But sympathy for those experiencing profound confusion about their gender should not prevent us from investigating the true causes of why more and more young Americans feel that way. We owe it to our children and to all children to find out what the hell is really going on. And then we need to do something about it.


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