A new poll shows Trump leading Biden by 2% in Virginia, providing a fresh indication that the President is heading for disaster in November.
The poll, conducted by Emerson College, shows that 45% of registered voters in Virginia will vote for Trump, as opposed to 43% for Biden. A few weeks ago, another poll showed a similar result.
To put that in context, Biden carried Virginia with 55% of the vote in 2020, 10% more than Trump, and a Republican has not won the state since 2004.
“The real question is, is any of this getting to Biden? Do the people around him tell him?” Larry Sabato, Director of the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, said to local news station WRIC.
“He is in deep, deep, deep, trouble.”
One of Biden’s main problems in Virginia is that independents want a change of leadership. 46% of independents said they would vote for Trump, as opposed to 38% for Biden. Biden’s declining mental and physical capabilities are clearly a turn-off for independent votes.
“That debate between Biden and Trump pointed out for the rest of this campaign that Joe Biden is enfeebled, at least at times, and you do not want your president—the president of a superpower with lots and lots of nuclear weapons—to be enfeebled,” Sabato added.
The survey was conducted between 13 and 15 July, meaning that almost all of the respondents are likely to have known about the assassination attempt against Donald Trump. This may have produced a “bump of sympathy,” in Sabato’s words, and further polling should reveal whether this is the case.
In a five-way race with independents, Trump’s lead grew to 5%.
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